uncc
0xa24a0b7c4eac2ff633939891910f666cd6769211
- Realised P&L
- $-29.3k
- Volume
- $427.6k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $383.34
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration42.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · Yes | 0.485 | 0.075 | $383.34 | −$2.1k |
| Will the price of XRP be between $2.10 and $2.20 on November 15? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on November 24? · Down | 0.014 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.40 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.256 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.8k |
| Grok 5 released by December 31? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$248.23 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30? · Yes | 0.026 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$492.96 |
| Epstein confirmed as foreign agent in 2025? · Yes | 0.044 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$142.10 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31? · Yes | 0.162 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.97 |
| Will the price of XRP be between $2.00 and $2.10 on November 15? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$51.41at 0.960NATO x Russia military clash in 2025?
- +$42.99at 0.264Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$16.99at 0.070Nothing Ever Happens: Russia Edition
- +$10.10at 0.520US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
- +$-7.07at 0.440US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-19 20:33 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.38 | $22.8k |
| 12-09 13:32 | NATO x Russia military clash in 2025? | SELL | 0.9805834811 | $2.4k |
| 12-03 16:48 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.38 | $168.91 |
| 11-26 23:08 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.2k |
| 11-26 23:05 | US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31? | SELL | 0.62 | $62.61 |
| 11-26 23:05 | US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31? | SELL | 0.37 | $37.37 |
| 11-25 18:18 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.0k |
| 11-25 13:55 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.4181849733 | $2.5k |
| 11-25 13:50 | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.4605469434 | $252.53 |
| 11-24 20:40 | NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on November 24? | BUY | 0.014 | $1.40 |
| 11-23 22:39 | Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday? | SELL | 0.72 | $4.6k |
| 11-23 22:33 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.53 | $1.1k |
| 11-23 22:31 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $3.9k |
| 11-23 22:26 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BUY | 0.13 | $830.66 |
| 11-23 22:26 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30? | BUY | 0.0239583168 | $57.48 |