PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

uncc

0xa24a0b7c4eac2ff633939891910f666cd6769211

Realised P&L
$-29.3k
Volume
$427.6k
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$383.34

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration42.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · Yes0.4850.075$383.34$2.1k
Will the price of XRP be between $2.10 and $2.20 on November 15? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$15.00
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on November 24? · Down0.0140.000$0.00$1.40
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.2560.000$0.00$15.8k
Grok 5 released by December 31? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$248.23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00$492.96
Epstein confirmed as foreign agent in 2025? · Yes0.0440.000$0.00$142.10
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31? · Yes0.1620.000$0.00$0.97
Will the price of XRP be between $2.00 and $2.10 on November 15? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$5.11

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-19 20:33Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?SELL0.38$22.8k
12-09 13:32NATO x Russia military clash in 2025?SELL0.9805834811$2.4k
12-03 16:48Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?SELL0.38$168.91
11-26 23:08Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?SELL0.12$1.2k
11-26 23:05US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?SELL0.62$62.61
11-26 23:05US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?SELL0.37$37.37
11-25 18:18Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?BUY0.2$2.0k
11-25 13:55Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?BUY0.4181849733$2.5k
11-25 13:50Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?BUY0.4605469434$252.53
11-24 20:40NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on November 24?BUY0.014$1.40
11-23 22:39Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?SELL0.72$4.6k
11-23 22:33Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?BUY0.53$1.1k
11-23 22:31Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?BUY0.3$3.9k
11-23 22:26Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?BUY0.13$830.66
11-23 22:26Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?BUY0.0239583168$57.48