PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xa2473e3bb505D7BaA607e6a52cA4970855f5ad8d-1781948531740

0xa2473e3bb505d7baa607e6a52ca4970855f5ad8d

Realised P&L
$1.03
Volume
$43.11
Markets traded
5
Open portfolio
$8.85

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded5
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration72.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Clay Jenkins win the 2026 Dallas County Judge election? · Yes0.9200.875$8.85$0.45

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-08 00:39Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?SELL0.3$1.50
07-02 05:08Will Clay Jenkins win the 2026 Dallas County Judge election?BUY0.919999906$4.70
07-02 05:07Will Clay Jenkins win the 2026 Dallas County Judge election?BUY0.92$4.60
07-02 03:15Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?BUY0.28$1.40
07-02 01:44Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?BUY0.63$3.15
07-01 02:34Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.181$1.09
06-30 07:47Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.289$1.73
06-24 08:41Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.186$1.12