0xa2472f76d2c138ba72a503ce2d0ecc873c3cc54c
- Realised P&L
- $167.40
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 2
- Open portfolio
- $750.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded2
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration79.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.442 | 0.544 | $599.74 | +$112.91 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? · Yes | 0.144 | 0.225 | $150.66 | +$54.49 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 12:50 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.502999981 | $11.18 |
| 09-14 12:50 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5029999979 | $11.40 |
| 09-14 12:50 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5029999969 | $74.99 |
| 09-10 03:07 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4719999889 | $3.06 |
| 09-10 03:07 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4719999762 | $8.24 |
| 09-10 03:07 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4719999762 | $8.24 |
| 09-10 03:06 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4719999762 | $8.24 |
| 09-10 03:06 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4719999762 | $8.24 |
| 09-10 03:06 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4716728932 | $12.43 |
| 09-10 03:05 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4718556183 | $48.99 |
| 09-03 15:39 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4319999927 | $16.65 |
| 09-03 15:39 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4319999633 | $5.75 |
| 09-03 15:38 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4319999941 | $25.01 |
| 09-03 15:37 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4319999941 | $25.01 |
| 09-03 15:37 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4319999941 | $25.01 |