p3240091
0xa2441370957fa4ccc5ecae4e6430bf62efb9dec1
- Realised P&L
- $45.47
- Volume
- $47.7k
- Markets traded
- 219
- Open portfolio
- $247.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded219
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 22? · Yes | 0.999 | 1.000 | $247.12 | +$0.12 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,900 on October 18? · Yes | 0.229 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.23 |
| LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) · CTBC Flying Oyster | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$120.00 |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) · CTBC Flying Oyster | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.05at 0.900LoL: KT Rolster vs Top Esports (BO3)
- +$12.12at 0.653LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)
- +$12.01at 0.976Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,600 on October 8?
- +$8.17at 0.933Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
- +$6.48at 0.870Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 10:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $247.00 |
| 09-19 00:02 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.9979999999 | $247.00 |
| 09-14 01:28 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.998 | $246.00 |
| 09-08 23:59 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on September 9? | BUY | 0.9989999969 | $245.00 |
| 09-07 00:25 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $245.00 |
| 09-05 00:25 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on September 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $245.00 |
| 09-03 12:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 4? | BUY | 0.9971732855 | $244.00 |
| 08-31 13:14 | Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in August? | BUY | 0.9979999998 | $244.00 |
| 08-27 23:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 29? | BUY | 0.998 | $243.00 |
| 08-22 04:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 22? | BUY | 0.997 | $243.00 |
| 08-18 01:15 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on August 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $239.00 |
| 08-17 05:57 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on August 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $238.00 |
| 08-14 09:12 | Will Ethereum reach $2,100 August 10-16? | BUY | 0.996 | $237.00 |
| 08-13 08:58 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on August 13? | BUY | 0.999 | $237.00 |
| 08-12 00:40 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on August 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $237.00 |