0xa23f738fa513f2b33a7aec5c3b76d75a5791bdbf
0xa23f738fa513f2b33a7aec5c3b76d75a5791bdbf
- Realised P&L
- $17.33
- Volume
- $489.01
- Markets traded
- 108
- Open portfolio
- $10.75
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded108
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? · No | 0.640 | 0.984 | $3.08 | +$1.07 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.320 | $3.05 | +$1.05 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No | 0.800 | 0.750 | $1.88 | −$0.13 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $115 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.420 | $1.75 | −$0.25 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · No | 0.650 | 0.285 | $0.88 | −$1.12 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · No | 0.250 | 0.016 | $0.13 | −$1.87 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.60at 0.213Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?
- +$7.01at 0.229Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?
- +$5.92at 0.259Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
- +$5.92at 0.259Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in August 2026?
- +$5.55at 0.271Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 03:10 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $115 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4799999616 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 19:10 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 18:40 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.6499999025 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 17:50 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 07:03 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 20:49 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 11:20 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 13:25 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 04:55 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 20:50 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.5599999328 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 12:50 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.5899999145 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 04:04 | Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.7799998674 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 20:03 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 11:57 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 03:34 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $2.00 |