EveTheOdds
0xa23c9d3f08a49d8c50224c12c36e8319519e2e3e
- Realised P&L
- $-18.31
- Volume
- $4.1k
- Markets traded
- 188
- Open portfolio
- $62.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded188
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on October 1? · Yes | 0.324 | 0.435 | $13.41 | +$3.41 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on October 1? · Yes | 0.351 | 0.460 | $13.09 | +$3.09 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on October 1? · Yes | 0.345 | 0.355 | $10.29 | +$0.29 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 1? · Yes | 0.386 | 0.510 | $6.60 | +$1.60 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on October 1? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.505 | $6.31 | +$1.31 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 1? · Yes | 0.334 | 0.385 | $5.77 | +$0.77 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on October 1? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.355 | $4.67 | −$0.33 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 1? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.475 | $2.78 | +$0.44 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.19at 0.132Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 19?
- +$30.50at 0.146Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 20?
- +$28.12at 0.156Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 17?
- +$26.04at 0.167Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 18?
- +$22.61at 0.122Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 04:04 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.3299999815 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 03:50 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.3188140119 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 03:11 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.3564356379 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 01:03 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.34 |
| 09-30 23:08 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.3335949607 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 22:05 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.3599999971 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 19:03 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.3861386123 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 19:02 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.3314393782 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 19:02 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 19:02 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 19:02 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.3465346397 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 03:03 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.3099999857 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 03:03 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.3099999857 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 00:01 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.3099999857 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 22:19 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.3235294003 | $5.00 |