LightSword707
0xa23c507007a00c15263f92620bec88425a71ae92
- Realised P&L
- $265.14
- Volume
- $105.8k
- Markets traded
- 1,225
- Open portfolio
- $67.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,225
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration7.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: LSU (-2.5) · Ole Miss | 0.470 | 1.000 | $42.53 | +$22.53 |
| Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres · San Diego Padres | 0.590 | 0.735 | $24.92 | +$4.92 |
| Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) · New York Yankees | 0.440 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$9.99 |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates · Kansas City Royals | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Spread: Louisville (-1.5) · SMU | 0.492 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Spread: Clemson (-3.5) · North Carolina | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 · Over | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Houston Astros · Houston Astros | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5) · Toronto Blue Jays | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Houston Astros · Houston Astros | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Spread: Texas State (-2.5) · North Texas | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$924.00at 0.659Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Felix Auger-Aliassime
- +$518.55at 0.657Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Francisco Comesana
- +$498.54at 0.627Madrid Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Yannick Hanfmann
- +$435.66at 0.561Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-2.5)
- +$304.99at 0.750UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 12:24 | Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4399999947 | $10.00 |
| 09-19 12:21 | Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.64 | $10.00 |
| 09-19 12:20 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Texas Rangers | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $10.00 |
| 09-19 12:14 | Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.5899999894 | $20.00 |
| 09-19 12:14 | Atlanta Braves vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.5299999883 | $20.00 |
| 09-19 12:13 | Spread: Alabama (-19.5) | BUY | 0.5157502121 | $10.00 |
| 09-19 12:13 | Spread: LSU (-2.5) | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $20.00 |
| 09-19 12:07 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $10.00 |
| 09-19 12:06 | Spread: Louisville (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4919903963 | $10.00 |
| 09-19 12:05 | Spread: Texas State (-2.5) | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $10.00 |
| 09-19 12:05 | Spread: Clemson (-3.5) | BUY | 0.5299999961 | $15.00 |
| 09-18 12:25 | Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $20.00 |
| 09-18 12:25 | Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4399999947 | $20.00 |
| 09-18 12:25 | Atlanta Braves vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 12:24 | Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | BUY | 0.3699999867 | $10.00 |