hotbot
0xa23b3deecc9796fa996aa7604f0889ed9602b787
- Realised P&L
- $936.46
- Volume
- $79.6k
- Markets traded
- 2,725
- Open portfolio
- $883.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded2,725
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration10.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$322.16at 0.130Bo Nix: Passing Completions O/U 27.5
- +$256.50at 0.050Will the price of Solana be greater than $130 on August 26?
- +$147.58at 0.060Deshaun Watson: Passing Completions O/U 19.5
- +$144.19at 0.462Washington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 149.5
- +$137.51at 0.536Jacoby Brissett: Passing Completions O/U 21.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 06:13 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.71 | $1.09 |
| 09-17 06:11 | Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.6204766269 | $27.08 |
| 09-17 06:11 | Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.39 | $5.95 |
| 09-17 06:02 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.009 | $0.06 |
| 09-17 06:02 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.75 | $4.69 |
| 09-17 06:02 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.06 |
| 09-17 05:58 | Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.5687278583 | $3.53 |
| 09-17 05:48 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.80 |
| 09-17 05:48 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.33 | $1.98 |
| 09-17 05:48 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.11 | $0.66 |
| 09-17 05:48 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.1812333333 | $1.09 |
| 09-17 05:25 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.00 |
| 09-17 05:08 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.78 | $7.80 |
| 09-17 05:07 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.02 |
| 09-17 04:57 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.47 | $15.76 |