snail75
0xa238e68983ffd55fe09294e99177601697a0729c
- Realised P&L
- $-0.02
- Volume
- $196.05
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $37.78
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.725 | $26.82 | +$19.05 |
| Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.285 | $10.54 | −$11.28 |
| Will the US economy have slack at the end of 2026? · Yes | 0.067 | 0.005 | $0.21 | −$2.38 |
| Will the US economy be in stagflation at the end of 2026? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.004 | $0.19 | −$1.29 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.24at 0.226US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?
- +$1.45at 0.210Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
- +$-1.50at 0.800Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
- +$-2.22at 0.869US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 20:33 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.05 |
| 08-03 20:33 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.00 |
| 08-03 20:24 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.222 | $1.11 |
| 08-03 20:09 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.226 | $1.13 |
| 08-03 19:38 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.204 | $0.28 |
| 08-03 17:34 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.8689998823 | $5.22 |
| 08-03 17:34 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.1379998899 | $1.02 |
| 07-31 18:24 | Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $7.77 |
| 07-31 18:24 | Will the US economy be in stagflation at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0304433603 | $1.48 |
| 07-31 18:24 | Will the US economy have slack at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0669999766 | $2.59 |
| 07-31 18:24 | Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.59 | $21.83 |