0xA228e8e2085a559336C0CCb1883Ffce3612e99c
0xa228e8e2085a664336c0ccb1883ffce3612e99c6
- Realised P&L
- $2.5k
- Volume
- $300.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,102
- Open portfolio
- $5.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,102
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration34.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$143.57at 0.001Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 37°F or below on May 1?
- +$111.71at 0.023Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on June 16?
- +$105.30at 0.002Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on April 28?
- +$99.39at 0.923Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 10?
- +$95.64at 0.956Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 15:57 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.03 | $2.40 |
| 08-04 15:56 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.40 |
| 08-04 14:30 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.042 | $0.42 |
| 08-04 14:11 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.28 |
| 08-04 09:42 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.06 | $0.36 |
| 08-04 09:21 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.04 | $0.25 |
| 08-04 08:20 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.03 | $0.82 |
| 08-03 09:27 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 35°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 08-03 09:22 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.07 | $2.11 |
| 08-03 09:11 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.59 |
| 08-03 08:12 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.75 |
| 08-03 08:12 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.03 | $1.50 |
| 08-02 20:11 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.06 | $0.05 |
| 08-02 19:14 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.15 |
| 07-30 16:13 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on July 30? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.35 |