0xa21f65cf784ef97e1961dba68783f7d706d34d8b
0xa21f65cf784ef97e1961dba68783f7d706d34d8b
- Realised P&L
- $1.1k
- Volume
- $54.3k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $5.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs vs. Broncos · Chiefs | 0.510 | 0.505 | $2.9k | −$28.27 |
| Titans vs. Bengals · Titans | 0.367 | 0.135 | $1.3k | −$2.3k |
| Chargers vs. Rams · Chargers | 0.270 | 0.265 | $707.80 | −$13.35 |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys · Cardinals | 0.250 | 0.028 | $107.69 | −$853.83 |
| Patriots vs. Bears · Patriots | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.61 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET · Up | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$46.29 |
| Nuggets vs. Suns · Suns | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$495.04 |
| Suns vs. Trail Blazers · Suns | 0.261 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$346.52 |
| Spurs vs. Mavericks · Mavericks | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$247.52 |
| Caleb Williams: Anytime Touchdown · Yes | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$480.76 |
| Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers · Trail Blazers | 0.051 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$594.02 |
| Clippers vs. Lakers · Clippers | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.96 |
| Warriors vs. Suns · Warriors | 0.243 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$493.95 |
| Broncos vs. Cardinals · Cardinals | 0.123 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.0k |
| Bucks vs. 76ers · Bucks | 0.167 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$158.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.2kat 0.532Panthers vs. Packers
- +$2.7kat 0.52576ers vs. Hornets
- +$622.63at 0.553Kansas State vs. Arizona State
- +$460.04at 0.303Bulls vs. Bucks
- +$450.03at 0.522Patriots vs. Bears: O/U 50.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 18:35 | Titans vs. Bengals | BUY | 0.42 | $2.9k |
| 11-01 18:34 | Titans vs. Bengals | BUY | 0.4399999999 | $480.76 |
| 11-01 18:32 | Ravens vs. Bills | SELL | 0.1 | $493.09 |
| 11-01 16:49 | Chiefs vs. Broncos | BUY | 0.5099999999 | $2.9k |
| 11-01 16:48 | Chargers vs. Rams | BUY | 0.27 | $721.15 |
| 11-01 16:48 | Titans vs. Bengals | BUY | 0.1299999999 | $240.38 |
| 11-01 16:46 | Ravens vs. Bills | BUY | 0.39 | $1.9k |
| 11-01 16:45 | Cardinals vs. Cowboys | BUY | 0.25 | $961.53 |
| 11-01 01:26 | Thunder vs. Rockets | BUY | 0.12 | $441.42 |
| 11-01 01:25 | Thunder vs. Rockets | BUY | 0.13 | $47.02 |
| 11-01 01:25 | Thunder vs. Rockets | BUY | 0.13 | $36.84 |
| 10-31 19:12 | 76ers vs. Hornets | BUY | 0.52 | $3.0k |
| 10-31 18:52 | Arizona State vs. BYU | BUY | 0.1299999999 | $192.30 |
| 10-31 02:08 | Nuggets vs. Suns | BUY | 0.3899999998 | $495.04 |
| 10-30 04:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $46.29 |