Laoxiong
0xa21de05abe49bd242f45e7aefe34be04c8f2a2b3
- Realised P&L
- $-4.0k
- Volume
- $124.0k
- Markets traded
- 106
- Open portfolio
- $4.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded106
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No | 0.853 | 0.997 | $3.5k | +$507.13 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No | 0.808 | 0.895 | $1.1k | +$108.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$833.38at 0.753Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?
- +$707.51at 0.877Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?
- +$411.03at 0.831Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-09-19?
- +$385.33at 0.766Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$331.27at 0.841Singapore Open: Donna Vekic vs Xinyu Wang
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 03:00 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies | BUY | 0.8899999997 | $1.0k |
| 09-24 02:43 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies | BUY | 0.8499999995 | $180.00 |
| 09-24 02:13 | Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.7426077115 | $1000.00 |
| 09-24 01:22 | Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.6699999996 | $70.00 |
| 09-24 00:41 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies | BUY | 0.9099999999 | $1000.00 |
| 09-24 00:33 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.8077626382 | $1000.00 |
| 09-24 00:31 | Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | SELL | 0.5741093383 | $266.63 |
| 09-24 00:16 | Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | SELL | 0.610849 | $122.17 |
| 09-24 00:14 | Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | SELL | 0.658946 | $131.79 |
| 09-23 13:57 | Porto: Ayana Akli vs Gabriela Knutson | SELL | 0.64 | $1.4k |
| 09-23 13:49 | Porto: Ayana Akli vs Gabriela Knutson | BUY | 0.9305341875 | $2.0k |
| 09-23 13:43 | Porto: Ayana Akli vs Gabriela Knutson | SELL | 0.2405627119 | $70.97 |
| 09-23 13:19 | Porto: Ayana Akli vs Gabriela Knutson | BUY | 0.3389830508 | $100.00 |
| 09-23 12:59 | Hangzhou Open: Valentin Royer vs Adam Walton | BUY | 0.9588571351 | $2.0k |
| 09-23 10:54 | Hangzhou Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Kyrian Jacquet | SELL | 0.6017996018 | $547.09 |