PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

privaterico2026

0xa21aa56bd6206a6832c31ce247c4c0d254ceb0ba

Realised P&L
$-40.71
Volume
$521.53
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$36.36

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration49.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.8100.815$10.06+$0.06
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.4370.279$6.38−$3.62
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.4250.395$5.67−$0.43
Will the Kansas 2026 Senate race be within 1%? · Yes0.1500.330$4.40+$2.40
Will the Nebraska 2026 Senate race be within 1%? · Yes0.1400.235$3.36+$1.36
Will the Maine 2026 Senate race be within 1%? · Yes0.1600.205$2.56+$0.56
Will the Iowa 2026 Senate race be within 1%? · Yes0.2300.200$1.74−$0.26
Will the Alaska 2026 Senate race be within 1%? · Yes0.1100.095$1.73−$0.27
Will Leonardo Badea be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.0500.004$0.45−$4.55
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET · Down0.1990.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET · Down0.7800.000$0.00−$6.00
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 6? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$1.66

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 14:33Will the Kansas 2026 Senate race be within 1%?BUY0.1499999925$2.00
10-05 14:33Will the Nebraska 2026 Senate race be within 1%?BUY0.139999993$2.00
10-05 14:33Will the Iowa 2026 Senate race be within 1%?BUY0.2299999782$2.00
10-05 14:32Will the Alaska 2026 Senate race be within 1%?BUY0.1099999951$2.00
10-05 14:32Will the Maine 2026 Senate race be within 1%?BUY0.16$2.00
10-05 14:26Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.425$6.10
10-05 14:18Will Leonardo Badea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.049668611$5.00
10-05 14:10Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.0498062537$5.00
10-05 14:08Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.1399999989$10.00
10-05 14:05Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.4369999846$10.00
10-05 14:03Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.8099999352$10.00
10-05 13:15Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETBUY0.7899999631$3.00
10-05 13:15Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETBUY0.7699999795$3.00
10-05 13:13Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETBUY0.98$10.00
10-05 13:13Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETBUY0.99$10.00