YesVolume
0xa2061352de8f2f7db0600239e21cd2833566f666
- Realised P&L
- $-708.34
- Volume
- $357.2k
- Markets traded
- 199
- Open portfolio
- $19.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded199
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$57.89at 0.780Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
- +$48.49at 0.307Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
- +$46.78at 0.332Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
- +$30.29at 0.234Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
- +$24.45at 0.500Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 11:40 | Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.00103472 | $1.03 |
| 10-31 08:11 | Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.002 | $2.00 |
| 10-31 06:04 | Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 10-31 06:03 | Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.002 | $1.65 |
| 10-31 06:03 | Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.00214906 | $2.15 |
| 10-31 06:03 | Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.89 |
| 10-31 06:02 | Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.01211364 | $12.11 |
| 10-23 07:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $4.94 |
| 10-05 05:39 | Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 05:38 | Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 05:36 | Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 05:33 | Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.001 | $30.00 |
| 10-05 05:32 | Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 10-03 11:32 | Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 10-03 11:32 | Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |