0xa205fdec498af6e5bea57f6d48321e2f0b2cbd97
0xa205fdec498af6e5bea57f6d48321e2f0b2cbd97
- Realised P&L
- $-2.58
- Volume
- $195.03
- Markets traded
- 92
- Open portfolio
- $4.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded92
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · No | 0.760 | 0.998 | $1.31 | +$0.31 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.250 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will Meta’s Q3 headcount be above 68000? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.700 | $0.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $990 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.355 | $0.72 | −$0.28 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.14at 0.247Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$2.67at 0.278Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$2.54at 0.288Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$1.68at 0.379Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $184 Week of August 24 2026?
- +$1.61at 0.389Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 03:07 | Will Meta’s Q3 headcount be above 68000? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 07:05 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $540 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 22:48 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $990 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 14:31 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 03:49 | Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $17.2B? | BUY | 0.7299994744 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 19:21 | Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.6B? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 04:39 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.759999696 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 03:58 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,050 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 18:33 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $350 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 10:24 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 02:19 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $76 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 18:19 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $185 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 10:07 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 02:07 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $517.50 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 16:13 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |