SirPjotr
0xa20169ed934e7bd5accc13044d508a8bab264016
- Realised P&L
- $-173.36
- Volume
- $5.4k
- Markets traded
- 90
- Open portfolio
- $407.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded90
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.75at 0.432Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 17?
- +$21.69at 0.412Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 19?
- +$17.86at 0.522Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 17?
- +$16.53at 0.542Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 17?
- +$15.05at 0.567Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 15:19 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 22? | SELL | 0.64 | $16.67 |
| 10-20 15:19 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 22? | SELL | 0.53 | $19.49 |
| 10-20 12:14 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 22? | BUY | 0.6599999936 | $6.22 |
| 10-20 12:04 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 22? | BUY | 0.6499999946 | $6.06 |
| 10-20 12:04 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on October 22? | SELL | 0.52 | $8.63 |
| 10-20 11:14 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 22? | BUY | 0.6499999683 | $6.16 |
| 10-20 11:14 | Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 22? | SELL | 0.55 | $5.51 |
| 10-20 11:14 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 20? | SELL | 0.4222212891 | $20.11 |
| 10-20 11:04 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 22? | BUY | 0.6999999923 | $18.23 |
| 10-20 11:04 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 22? | BUY | 0.5199999967 | $19.12 |
| 10-20 11:04 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 22? | BUY | 0.6 | $19.35 |
| 10-20 11:03 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 20? | SELL | 0.1769439645 | $7.17 |
| 10-20 10:58 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 20? | SELL | 0.2828931452 | $11.23 |
| 10-20 10:57 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 21? | SELL | 0.25 | $10.82 |
| 10-20 10:56 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 20? | SELL | 0.0866389351 | $3.12 |