Maximu7
0xa200fb1ab9087ae0490697957b94f93f0446790d
- Realised P&L
- $-40.47
- Volume
- $15.6k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $2.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)35.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party win the CO-03 House seat? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.375 | $1.34 | +$0.34 |
| Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 · Yes | 0.280 | 0.195 | $0.70 | −$0.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.58at 0.745Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 6?
- +$2.20at 0.946Will Bijan Robinson be the top Fantasy Running Back?
- +$1.75at 0.97226-50 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?
- +$1.62at 0.650US inflation >0.1% from July to August 2024?
- +$1.14at 0.860Stirling vs. Tokkos
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-13 14:03 | Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.9719999999 | $101.00 |
| 07-13 14:02 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.95 | $101.00 |
| 06-28 19:10 | Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $2.0k |
| 06-28 19:10 | Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $3.0k |
| 06-28 19:10 | Will the Democratic Party win the CO-03 House seat? | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |
| 04-10 21:02 | Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | SELL | 0.998 | $1.9k |
| 04-05 19:22 | Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.9k |
| 04-05 19:22 | Will Iran strike UAE again in March? | BUY | 0.1110000001 | $1.00 |
| 04-05 19:20 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 6? | BUY | 0.988999999 | $4.99 |
| 04-05 19:20 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $0.96 |
| 04-05 19:19 | Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |
| 01-03 17:56 | Will Bijan Robinson be the top Fantasy Running Back? | SELL | 0.998 | $42.20 |
| 01-03 17:55 | Will Josh Jacobs be the top Fantasy Running Back? | SELL | 0.999 | $100.30 |
| 01-03 17:55 | Will Kyren Williams be the top Fantasy Running Back? | SELL | 0.999 | $100.50 |
| 12-10 21:14 | Will Bijan Robinson be the top Fantasy Running Back? | BUY | 0.9459999996 | $40.00 |