lekkerweer
0xa2008cf3f8e4de69a459f882e31c924c152a27b0
- Realised P&L
- $-112.92
- Volume
- $124.4k
- Markets traded
- 1,868
- Open portfolio
- $521.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,868
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$329.50at 0.480Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 4?
- +$303.05at 0.608Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 3?
- +$264.48at 0.337Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 9?
- +$257.85at 0.435Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 16?
- +$222.24at 0.382Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 18:50 | Will Elin Norén be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Dalarna? | SELL | 0.96 | $13.44 |
| 08-31 21:29 | Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 4.0% and 4.4%? | SELL | 0.98 | $7.84 |
| 08-25 02:37 | Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.53 | $4.24 |
| 08-25 02:37 | Will Capitão Contar win the second-most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso do Sul Senate election? | BUY | 0.66 | $3.96 |
| 08-25 02:37 | Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election? | BUY | 0.68 | $3.40 |
| 08-25 02:37 | Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $3.20 |
| 08-25 02:36 | Will Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar win the next Cusco mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.31 | $2.48 |
| 08-25 02:36 | Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | BUY | 0.318 | $1.59 |
| 08-19 03:59 | Will Capitão Alberto Neto win the second-most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election? | BUY | 0.5 | $3.00 |
| 08-18 23:32 | Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.55 | $4.40 |
| 08-18 22:25 | Will Fabiola Alanís Sámano win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election? | BUY | 0.91 | $11.83 |
| 08-18 21:51 | Will Renan Filho win the 2026 Alagoas gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 08-18 20:11 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.022 | $1.12 |
| 08-18 19:38 | Will Christian Agúndez Gómez win the 2027 Baja California Sur Governor Election? | BUY | 0.9 | $6.30 |
| 08-18 19:04 | Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.17 |