PolyBot

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Traders

00dd

0xa1ff0bea9fbd70d909d498d62d05651a23c8f398

Realised P&L
$-45.15
Volume
$39.0k
Markets traded
32
Open portfolio
$33.31

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded32
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration78.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31? · Yes0.0220.016$18.88$7.27
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on August 5? · Yes0.0200.051$13.96+$8.43
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · No0.0030.001$0.33$1.68
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? · No0.0140.001$0.14$3.78
Will there be 3 or more North Korea tests in June 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$4.00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$2.00
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00$9.25
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? · No0.0190.000$0.00$11.94
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$17.11
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$6.83
Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on July 3? · Yes0.0980.000$0.00$2.68
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 5? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$2.80
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on July 4? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$14.02
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on August 4? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$11.39
Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$19.92

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 11:25Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 5?BUY0.008$1.60
08-04 23:03Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on August 4?SELL0.05$5.19
08-04 16:21Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on August 4?BUY0.14$14.00
08-04 16:16Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on August 4?SELL0.12625$2.02
08-04 15:30Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on August 4?SELL0.11$1.10
08-04 08:20Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on August 4?BUY0.11$3.63
08-04 05:54Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on August 4?BUY0.2$20.00
08-03 23:00Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on August 3?BUY0.011$2.20
08-02 01:31Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?SELL0.02$0.82
07-31 13:12Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?SELL0.0289042439$5.10
07-31 07:47Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.069999992$8.00
07-30 17:51Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?SELL0.035$4.41
07-25 01:52US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?SELL0.011$1.10
07-25 01:48US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?SELL0.011$3.98
07-25 01:42US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?SELL0.0135833333$1.63