PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

00dd

0xa1ff0bea9fbd70d909d498d62d05651a23c8f398

Realised P&L
$-570.84
Volume
$178.7k
Markets traded
136
Open portfolio
$235.10

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded136
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample25 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0480.043$53.49$6.42
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0880.075$53.19$9.23
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0210.017$24.11$5.97
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0340.026$23.06$6.75
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0520.034$21.11$11.82
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0690.055$15.70$4.06
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0190.018$8.14$0.22
Iran invades Kuwait by October 31? · Yes0.0100.016$6.40+$2.40
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September? · Yes0.0110.003$5.67$14.34
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0170.021$4.92+$0.84
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.0330.038$4.62+$0.66
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.0600.055$3.85$0.35
Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0120.005$3.40$4.76
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on September 21? · Yes0.0010.003$1.50+$0.70
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September? · Yes0.0600.009$1.47$7.83

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 10:18Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.07$0.35
09-21 09:18Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.05$15.00
09-21 09:16Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.032$6.72
09-21 08:53Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0891683673$17.48
09-20 21:38Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.019$4.18
09-20 21:36Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.019$4.18
09-20 21:35Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.019$6.08
09-20 21:33Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.027$5.40
09-20 21:26Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.031$0.62
09-20 13:22Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on September 20?BUY0.00994955$1.99
09-20 13:12Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.06$15.60
09-20 03:02Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.06$3.96
09-20 03:00Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.05$20.00
09-20 02:58Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.08$6.00
09-20 02:57Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.08$4.00