facai86868
0xa1f39b9b21a7bfb0f540cf106b92e240c7b7d99c
- Realised P&L
- $-116.4k
- Volume
- $5.02M
- Markets traded
- 1,030
- Open portfolio
- $5.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,030
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration8.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5) · Fenerbahçe SK | 0.515 | 0.840 | $3.1k | +$1.2k |
| Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-08-05? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.475 | $995.37 | +$10.48 |
| Spread: Atlanta Dream (-6.5) · Atlanta Dream | 0.520 | 0.515 | $990.38 | −$9.61 |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-07-28? · Yes | 0.455 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.8k |
| Bologna FC 1909 vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.3k |
| RU Saint-Gilloise vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.3k |
| Spread: Nuggets (-6.5) · Nuggets | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.8k |
| Spread: Rockets (-2.5) · Rockets | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.53 |
| Will France win on 2026-03-29? · No | 0.462 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.6k |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-15.5) · Nets | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.7k |
| Spread: Rockets (-3.5) · Rockets | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.59 |
| Spread: Suns (-8.5) · Pacers | 0.481 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.2k |
| Spread: Knicks (-14.5) · Kings | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.9k |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-01-06? · No | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.1k |
| Warriors vs. Nets: O/U 221.5 · Under | 0.493 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$688.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.1kat 0.414Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Both Teams to Score
- +$18.2kat 0.500Czechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score
- +$17.3kat 0.494France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5
- +$16.3kat 0.510Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5
- +$14.2kat 0.530Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 18:54 | Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-08-05? | BUY | 0.47 | $983.90 |
| 08-05 18:16 | Spread: Atlanta Dream (-6.5) | BUY | 0.5199999998 | $1000.00 |
| 08-05 16:22 | Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5) | BUY | 0.53 | $99.20 |
| 08-04 23:00 | Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-11.5) | BUY | 0.4899999999 | $300.00 |
| 08-04 23:00 | Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-11.5) | BUY | 0.4899999999 | $300.00 |
| 08-04 23:00 | Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-11.5) | BUY | 0.4899999999 | $300.00 |
| 08-04 23:00 | Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-11.5) | BUY | 0.4899999999 | $300.00 |
| 08-04 23:00 | Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-11.5) | BUY | 0.4899999999 | $300.00 |
| 08-04 22:59 | Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-11.5) | BUY | 0.4899999999 | $300.00 |
| 08-04 22:59 | Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-11.5) | BUY | 0.4899999999 | $300.00 |
| 08-04 22:59 | Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-11.5) | BUY | 0.4899999999 | $300.00 |
| 08-04 22:59 | Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-11.5) | BUY | 0.4899999999 | $300.00 |
| 08-04 22:58 | Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-11.5) | BUY | 0.4899999999 | $300.00 |
| 08-04 22:58 | Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-11.5) | BUY | 0.4899999999 | $300.00 |
| 08-04 22:58 | Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-11.5) | BUY | 0.4899999999 | $300.00 |