RJ2712
0xa1ed7ae2fb2d107d0c53972947967dbfd271fa68
- Realised P&L
- $-4.1k
- Volume
- $306.7k
- Markets traded
- 173
- Open portfolio
- $10.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded173
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canada vs. Chile: 1st Half O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.660 | 1.000 | $10.0k | +$3.4k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.7kat 0.104Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox
- +$2.0kat 0.034Will Vietnam win on 2026-08-07?
- +$885.69at 0.010Werder Bremen vs. SC Paderborn 07: O/U 0.5
- +$671.59at 0.229Valorant: Team Liquid vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C
- +$462.84at 0.380Maple Leafs vs. Senators
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 23:24 | Canada vs. Chile: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.66 | $100.36 |
| 09-26 21:07 | Iowa vs. Michigan | BUY | 0.71 | $710.00 |
| 09-26 21:07 | Iowa vs. Michigan | BUY | 0.71 | $639.00 |
| 09-26 21:06 | Iowa vs. Michigan | BUY | 0.73 | $1.0k |
| 09-24 10:04 | Valorant: Team Liquid vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C | BUY | 0.22 | $583.77 |
| 09-24 09:19 | Valorant: Team Liquid vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C | BUY | 0.56 | $1.4k |
| 08-30 15:21 | Poland vs. Germany | BUY | 0.999 | $120.11 |
| 08-30 14:53 | Poland vs. Germany | BUY | 0.305 | $9.65 |
| 08-30 14:51 | Poland vs. Germany | BUY | 0.519 | $1.59 |
| 08-24 20:50 | Will Paper Rex Qualify to VCT Champs 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.24 |
| 08-24 20:49 | AS Monaco vs. Cercle Brugge: Cercle Brugge 1st Half O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.998 | $55.88 |
| 08-24 20:47 | AS Monaco vs. Cercle Brugge: AS Monaco 1st Half O/U 0.5 | SELL | 0.997 | $55.82 |
| 08-17 15:35 | Exact Score: SC St. Tönis 11/20 3 - 0 Eintracht Frankfurt? | SELL | 0.9941209564 | $56.55 |
| 08-16 17:36 | Will SC St. Tönis 11/20 win on 2026-08-21? | SELL | 0.982 | $37.24 |
| 08-16 17:36 | Will FUT Esports Qualify to VCT Champs 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $20.17 |