Mgmgigante
0xa1eb17b183e4c634f251fe61c46a828d27a91c67
- Realised P&L
- $-16.0k
- Volume
- $215.3k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $15.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.165 | $14.7k | +$9.3k |
| Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.079 | 0.028 | $867.33 | −$1.6k |
| Will Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 AL East title? · Yes | 0.085 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$819.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.710Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
- +$-24.4kat 0.328Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 00:48 | Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.1249394956 | $1.6k |
| 09-13 00:48 | Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0485562709 | $915.71 |
| 08-24 23:11 | Will Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 AL East title? | BUY | 0.1005429632 | $500.00 |
| 08-21 19:45 | Will Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 AL East title? | BUY | 0.1814767173 | $200.00 |
| 08-21 16:42 | Will Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 AL East title? | BUY | 0.0408815497 | $20.00 |
| 08-21 16:37 | Will Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 AL East title? | BUY | 0.0326436513 | $100.00 |
| 04-14 07:10 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.061 | $71.59 |
| 04-14 06:59 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | SELL | 0.996 | $5.3k |
| 04-11 07:48 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | BUY | 0.71 | $845.79 |
| 04-11 07:47 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | BUY | 0.71 | $2.9k |
| 04-04 17:52 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0587664707 | $4.5k |
| 04-04 17:52 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.070785076 | $457.16 |
| 04-06 16:17 | Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | BUY | 0.3 | $7.0k |
| 04-03 19:59 | Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | BUY | 0.33 | $7.5k |
| 03-31 23:19 | Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | BUY | 0.35 | $9.9k |