PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Mgmgigante

0xa1eb17b183e4c634f251fe61c46a828d27a91c67

Realised P&L
$-16.0k
Volume
$215.3k
Markets traded
5
Open portfolio
$15.5k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded5
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration94.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0600.165$14.7k+$9.3k
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0790.028$867.33$1.6k
Will Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 AL East title? · Yes0.0850.000$0.00$819.98

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 00:48Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.1249394956$1.6k
09-13 00:48Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.0485562709$915.71
08-24 23:11Will Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 AL East title?BUY0.1005429632$500.00
08-21 19:45Will Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 AL East title?BUY0.1814767173$200.00
08-21 16:42Will Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 AL East title?BUY0.0408815497$20.00
08-21 16:37Will Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 AL East title?BUY0.0326436513$100.00
04-14 07:10Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.061$71.59
04-14 06:59Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?SELL0.996$5.3k
04-11 07:48Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?BUY0.71$845.79
04-11 07:47Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?BUY0.71$2.9k
04-04 17:52Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0587664707$4.5k
04-04 17:52Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.070785076$457.16
04-06 16:17Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?BUY0.3$7.0k
04-03 19:59Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?BUY0.33$7.5k
03-31 23:19Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?BUY0.35$9.9k