PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xa1df436229082f59e6c1ab183418939ed3ad4a53

0xa1df436229082f59e6c1ab183418939ed3ad4a53

Realised P&L
$-656.56
Volume
$17.2k
Markets traded
2,622
Open portfolio
$29.05

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,622
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration11.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 16? · Yes0.3701.000$13.99+$8.81
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on October 16? · Yes0.6001.000$8.00+$3.20
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 17? · Yes0.0240.021$4.26−$0.73
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 17? · Yes0.3200.175$2.80−$2.32
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 14? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00−$4.93
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 14? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$4.94

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 19:00Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 17?BUY0.32$1.60
10-16 19:00Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 17?BUY0.024$0.38
10-16 07:31Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 16?BUY0.673$4.71
10-15 21:00Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on October 16?BUY0.6$4.80
10-15 19:00Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 16?BUY0.37$5.18
10-13 21:00Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 14?BUY0.13$0.65
10-13 19:01Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 14?BUY0.09$0.45
10-13 19:00Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 14?BUY0.29$4.93
09-25 21:39Ethereum Up or Down - September 25, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETBUY0.87$9.57
09-19 21:34Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:30PM-5:35PM ETBUY0.96$9.60
09-13 20:04Ethereum Up or Down - September 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ETBUY0.84$8.40
09-13 14:34Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETBUY0.97$9.70
09-12 14:24Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETBUY0.98$9.80
09-10 21:44Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETBUY0.97$9.70
09-10 19:14Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ETBUY0.97$9.70