0xa1df436229082f59e6c1ab183418939ed3ad4a53
0xa1df436229082f59e6c1ab183418939ed3ad4a53
- Realised P&L
- $-656.56
- Volume
- $17.2k
- Markets traded
- 2,622
- Open portfolio
- $29.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,622
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 16? · Yes | 0.370 | 1.000 | $13.99 | +$8.81 |
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on October 16? · Yes | 0.600 | 1.000 | $8.00 | +$3.20 |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 17? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.021 | $4.26 | −$0.73 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 17? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.175 | $2.80 | −$2.32 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 14? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.93 |
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 14? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.94 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.50at 0.751Dogecoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
- +$13.87at 0.270Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
- +$12.07at 0.290Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
- +$11.29at 0.742Ethereum Up or Down - April 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
- +$10.21at 0.775Solana Up or Down - April 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 19:00 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 10-16 19:00 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.024 | $0.38 |
| 10-16 07:31 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.673 | $4.71 |
| 10-15 21:00 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.6 | $4.80 |
| 10-15 19:00 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.37 | $5.18 |
| 10-13 21:00 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.13 | $0.65 |
| 10-13 19:01 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.09 | $0.45 |
| 10-13 19:00 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.29 | $4.93 |
| 09-25 21:39 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 25, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | BUY | 0.87 | $9.57 |
| 09-19 21:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $9.60 |
| 09-13 20:04 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | BUY | 0.84 | $8.40 |
| 09-13 14:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | BUY | 0.97 | $9.70 |
| 09-12 14:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $9.80 |
| 09-10 21:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | BUY | 0.97 | $9.70 |
| 09-10 19:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET | BUY | 0.97 | $9.70 |