laterer
0xa1dbe8b506b0f2b48d4fe99e74e33601998cd25c
- Realised P&L
- $-154.81
- Volume
- $8.8k
- Markets traded
- 100
- Open portfolio
- $13.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded100
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $13.11 | +$0.01 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.425T by September 30? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.070 | $0.36 | −$2.09 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.985 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$158.00 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on November 21? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.498 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$70.09at 0.669Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
- +$66.39at 0.723Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?
- +$59.42at 0.732Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?
- +$56.44at 0.765Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
- +$55.61at 0.750Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-03 14:16 | Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.10 |
| 09-03 14:12 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.425T by September 30? | BUY | 0.4799999608 | $2.45 |
| 08-29 14:34 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.00 |
| 08-29 14:07 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 07:42 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $25.30 |
| 06-16 02:00 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.9946044039 | $124.00 |
| 06-15 03:10 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.8799999994 | $109.65 |
| 06-12 02:38 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.9338348698 | $103.00 |
| 06-11 07:54 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.9689999999 | $100.00 |
| 06-07 07:36 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.9849999999 | $158.00 |
| 06-07 03:45 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.9839999999 | $155.00 |
| 06-06 11:00 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.9099999999 | $141.93 |
| 06-03 02:36 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $142.00 |
| 05-30 03:26 | Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $141.00 |
| 05-28 09:19 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $141.00 |