PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

laterer

0xa1dbe8b506b0f2b48d4fe99e74e33601998cd25c

Realised P&L
$-154.81
Volume
$8.8k
Markets traded
100
Open portfolio
$13.46

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded100
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration97.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · No0.9991.000$13.11+$0.01
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.425T by September 30? · Yes0.4800.070$0.36$2.09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$1.00
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 7, 2026? · Yes0.9850.000$0.00$158.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$1.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on November 21? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$2.00
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? · Yes0.4980.000$0.00$1.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-03 14:16Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.999$13.10
09-03 14:12Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.425T by September 30?BUY0.4799999608$2.45
08-29 14:34US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31?BUY0.999$12.00
08-29 14:07Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.002$1.00
07-27 07:42Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.999$25.30
06-16 02:00Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?BUY0.9946044039$124.00
06-15 03:10Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?BUY0.8799999994$109.65
06-12 02:38Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?BUY0.9338348698$103.00
06-11 07:54Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 11, 2026?BUY0.9689999999$100.00
06-07 07:36Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 7, 2026?BUY0.9849999999$158.00
06-07 03:45Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 6, 2026?BUY0.9839999999$155.00
06-06 11:00Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?BUY0.9099999999$141.93
06-03 02:36Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?BUY0.998$142.00
05-30 03:26Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?BUY0.997$141.00
05-28 09:19Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?BUY0.997$141.00