PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Uncsgotmotion

0xa1daaeec64247b566b2a3b69c1fd7a338d122edc

Realised P&L
$-234.93
Volume
$3.8k
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$96.80

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration26.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.4470.255$57.10$42.90
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.7000.225$19.29$40.71
Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026? · Yes0.4440.145$16.34$33.66
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2290.045$4.50$18.40
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? · Yes0.5600.000$0.00$50.00
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$148.98

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-03 22:41Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?BUY0.209999999$148.98
04-03 19:00US forces enter Iran by December 31?SELL0.86$153.30
03-20 19:23Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.37$121.88
03-20 19:20US forces enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.6899999987$123.00
03-15 21:22US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?SELL0.86$113.83
03-08 00:59Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?BUY0.6999999988$60.00
03-08 00:59Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?BUY0.5599999969$50.00
03-08 00:58US strike on Cuba by December 31?BUY0.4465800897$100.00
03-07 20:35US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?SELL0.92$92.55
03-01 00:07Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY0.3716654988$50.00
03-01 00:05US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?BUY0.4970178926$50.00
03-01 00:04US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?BUY0.3777335939$50.00
02-28 22:10Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026?BUY0.443581376$50.00
02-28 22:04Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?SELL0.988$98.80
01-16 20:31Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?BUY0.5$50.00