PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

GNef

0xa1d98c557c06a56301cb5dd867e38fc4b4194263

Realised P&L
$-118.99
Volume
$18.2k
Markets traded
42
Open portfolio
$7.67

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded42
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration99.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample47 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)4.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2150.029$7.67$48.33
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET · Up0.5200.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-07 22:43Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.005$0.85
07-07 22:43Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.007$0.93
07-07 22:43Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.994$4.97
07-07 22:42Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.008$1.06
07-07 22:41Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.995$4.97
07-07 22:40Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.006$1.03
07-07 00:52Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.994$4.97
07-07 00:52Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.995$4.97
07-07 00:52Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.994$5.00
07-07 00:52Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.005$0.75
07-07 00:51Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.006$0.90
07-07 00:50Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1$0.50
07-07 00:50Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?BUY0.095$0.95
07-07 00:49Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0966666667$1.45
07-02 00:42Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.9939999992$5.00