GNef
0xa1d98c557c06a56301cb5dd867e38fc4b4194263
- Realised P&L
- $-118.99
- Volume
- $18.2k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $7.67
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)4.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.215 | 0.029 | $7.67 | −$48.33 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET · Up | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.03at 0.729Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?
- +$0.02at 0.996Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
- +$-0.01at 0.991Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$-0.01at 0.999Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-0.01at 0.945Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-07 22:43 | Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.85 |
| 07-07 22:43 | Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.93 |
| 07-07 22:43 | Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.994 | $4.97 |
| 07-07 22:42 | Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.06 |
| 07-07 22:41 | Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.995 | $4.97 |
| 07-07 22:40 | Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.03 |
| 07-07 00:52 | Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.994 | $4.97 |
| 07-07 00:52 | Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.995 | $4.97 |
| 07-07 00:52 | Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.994 | $5.00 |
| 07-07 00:52 | Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.75 |
| 07-07 00:51 | Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.006 | $0.90 |
| 07-07 00:50 | Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $0.50 |
| 07-07 00:50 | Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.095 | $0.95 |
| 07-07 00:49 | Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0966666667 | $1.45 |
| 07-02 00:42 | Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.9939999992 | $5.00 |