IHeardLoveisallyouNeed
0xa1d82aa07258aac95b2a7f0893f740a37ef1a786
- Realised P&L
- $-76.3k
- Volume
- $463.1k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $238.87
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-16.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No | 0.482 | 0.800 | $178.33 | +$70.86 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.029 | $60.54 | −$1.4k |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? · No | 0.645 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$91.8k |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? · No | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$68.17 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? · No | 0.364 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.8k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.5kat 0.866US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
- +$13.3kat 0.647Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$97.00at 0.903Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
- +$-1.37at 0.100US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-08 17:31 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BUY | 0.8 | $48.00 |
| 06-07 15:13 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BUY | 0.76 | $6.6k |
| 06-06 19:04 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BUY | 0.75 | $6.6k |
| 05-28 17:59 | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | BUY | 0.788 | $788.00 |
| 05-28 17:56 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BUY | 0.59 | $391.76 |
| 05-28 17:55 | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | BUY | 0.7787440247 | $1.4k |
| 05-28 17:48 | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | BUY | 0.7984583841 | $8.4k |
| 05-28 17:41 | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | BUY | 0.7999719809 | $3.3k |
| 05-28 17:34 | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.4k |
| 05-28 17:28 | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | BUY | 0.7990882013 | $1.8k |
| 05-28 17:14 | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | BUY | 0.81269582 | $1.6k |
| 05-28 17:06 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BUY | 0.61 | $1.4k |
| 05-28 17:04 | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | BUY | 0.809559867 | $4.9k |
| 05-28 16:56 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BUY | 0.6 | $11.03 |
| 05-28 16:51 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BUY | 0.64 | $67.84 |