PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

fourthToWin

0xa1d1f219b49a62a3f0572997c615e98a6ab3a269

Realised P&L
$2.5k
Volume
$66.1k
Markets traded
136
Open portfolio
$185.40

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.7%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded136
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · No0.7000.945$70.87+$18.37
Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026? · No0.8700.896$47.08+$1.39
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes0.7400.845$42.25+$5.25
Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? · No0.8100.795$23.85$0.45
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? · Yes0.1910.013$1.35$17.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-07 15:09Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?SELL0.79$34.18
06-06 15:09Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?BUY0.62$186.00
06-06 15:08Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?SELL0.1924368421$7.31
06-06 15:06Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?BUY0.32$9.60
06-06 15:06Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?BUY0.25$2.00
05-26 17:18Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?BUY0.191$19.10
05-25 18:57Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?BUY0.76$76.00
05-23 20:44Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?BUY0.41$20.50
05-23 15:43Will Kimi Antonelli win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?BUY0.26$13.00
04-18 11:18LoL: DN SOOPers vs KT Rolster - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.91$1.1k
03-27 02:13Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles DodgersBUY0.92$46.00
03-26 18:50Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York MetsBUY0.91$45.50
03-22 15:40LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 WinnerSELL0.9801785146$258.94
03-22 14:31LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.84$168.00
03-22 14:26LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.68$68.00