JK2-Av
0xa1d1984d6799527846efd2f33917b526333664a7
- Realised P&L
- $3.1k
- Volume
- $335.8k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $155.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)73.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by December 31? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.125 | $103.18 | −$111.31 |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.204 | 0.160 | $45.39 | −$12.48 |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes | 0.067 | 0.018 | $6.48 | −$18.46 |
| Swiss Open, Qualification: Marc-Andrea Huesler vs Edas Butvilas · Edas Butvilas | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$606.99 |
| Counter-Strike: MEIA NOITE vs Semente do Mal (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #3 Playoffs · MEIA NOITE | 0.870 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$43.50 |
| Will Rodri join Real Madrid? · Yes | 0.566 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$65.09 |
| La Velada del Año 6: Lit Killah vs Kidd Keo · Kidd Keo | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$87.27 |
| La Velada del Año 6: Viruzz vs Gero Arias · Viruzz | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.50 |
| Will Francisco Cerundolo win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles? · Yes | 0.071 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.56 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.8kat 0.805Will Carlos Alcaraz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
- +$2.4kat 0.799Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?
- +$215.58at 0.645La Velada del Año 6: Marta Díaz vs. Tatiana Käer
- +$214.39at 0.574La Velada del Año 6: Samy Rivers vs RoRo
- +$211.15at 0.236Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 15:51 | Counter-Strike: MEIA NOITE vs Semente do Mal (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #3 Playoffs | BUY | 0.87 | $43.50 |
| 08-18 23:16 | Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.31 | $87.27 |
| 08-10 18:59 | Will Carlos Alcaraz Play in the U.S. Open? | BUY | 0.48 | $33.32 |
| 08-10 00:51 | Will Carlos Alcaraz Play in the U.S. Open? | BUY | 0.51 | $78.54 |
| 08-10 00:51 | Will Carlos Alcaraz Play in the U.S. Open? | BUY | 0.5067737169 | $617.31 |
| 08-06 12:57 | Will Rodri join Real Madrid? | BUY | 0.563 | $11.26 |
| 08-06 12:57 | Will Rodri join Real Madrid? | BUY | 0.5683055385 | $36.94 |
| 07-31 16:06 | Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.067378374 | $24.94 |
| 07-31 16:06 | No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by December 31? | BUY | 0.259842514 | $214.49 |
| 07-31 16:06 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2040069097 | $57.87 |
| 07-25 06:56 | La Velada del Año 6: Plex vs. Fernanfloo | BUY | 0.88 | $44.00 |
| 07-24 07:08 | La Velada del Año 6: Marta Díaz vs. Tatiana Käer | BUY | 0.6458963921 | $196.75 |
| 07-24 07:06 | La Velada del Año 6: Plex vs. Fernanfloo | BUY | 0.8356398129 | $325.08 |
| 07-24 07:06 | La Velada del Año 6: Plex vs. Fernanfloo | SELL | 0.17 | $11.46 |
| 07-24 07:04 | La Velada del Año 6 Edu Aguirre vs Gastón Edul | SELL | 0.19 | $39.90 |