0xa1cCe6ea8C929C91EE4b9C78A57B11115d7F6171-1779361990935
0xa1cce6ea8c929c91ee4b9c78a57b11115d7f6171
- Realised P&L
- $-4.3k
- Volume
- $263.4k
- Markets traded
- 1,133
- Open portfolio
- $0.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,133
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration10.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 22? · Yes | 0.657 | 0.001 | $0.20 | −$256.29 |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 21? · Yes | 0.046 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 21? · Yes | 0.704 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$86.46 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$222.98at 0.543Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 17?
- +$218.32at 0.220Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C or higher on July 29?
- +$207.34at 0.348Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 21?
- +$202.32at 0.476Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on June 13?
- +$198.33at 0.534Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 06:38 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.740940149 | $28.84 |
| 09-22 06:01 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.824375 | $29.02 |
| 09-22 06:00 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.6590584876 | $140.00 |
| 09-22 05:52 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.6327487583 | $36.95 |
| 09-22 05:30 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.48 | $7.20 |
| 09-22 05:02 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 09-22 05:02 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.46 | $2.30 |
| 09-22 05:01 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.47 | $4.83 |
| 09-22 05:01 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.49 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 03:41 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.38 | $9.50 |
| 09-22 03:30 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.42 | $10.50 |
| 09-21 10:05 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.999 | $283.99 |
| 09-21 06:42 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.9167016365 | $104.00 |
| 09-21 06:34 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.8599999644 | $14.48 |
| 09-21 06:34 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.85 | $13.60 |