0xa1c04c6f4cdfbd96e12ca03add3b052deee4f6c1
0xa1c04c6f4cdfbd96e12ca03add3b052deee4f6c1
- Realised P&L
- $820.89
- Volume
- $56.2k
- Markets traded
- 246
- Open portfolio
- $684.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded246
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.225 | $225.00 | +$15.00 |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.125 | $125.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.125 | $125.00 | −$95.00 |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.116 | $118.54 | +$26.04 |
| Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.080 | $80.00 | −$60.00 |
| Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.021 | $11.13 | +$1.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.213Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$485.25at 0.175Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$271.20at 0.199Will the final be ESP vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$133.22at 0.134Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia?
- +$116.83at 0.124Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 1 France?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-23 00:50 | Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.0048255444 | $7.30 |
| 09-27 04:02 | Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.13 | $130.00 |
| 09-12 02:38 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.2 | $22.22 |
| 08-21 07:27 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7199999982 | $80.00 |
| 08-14 02:01 | Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.14 | $140.00 |
| 08-14 01:33 | Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.1329999985 | $70.00 |
| 08-14 01:32 | Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.21 | $210.00 |
| 08-14 01:32 | Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.22 | $220.00 |
| 07-26 06:05 | Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0409999994 | $62.00 |
| 07-19 20:17 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina? | BUY | 0.09 | $9.00 |
| 07-19 20:17 | Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina? | BUY | 0.2599999935 | $20.00 |
| 07-19 20:17 | Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina? | BUY | 0.12 | $12.00 |
| 07-19 19:23 | Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.52 | $26.00 |
| 07-19 19:04 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina? | BUY | 0.11 | $11.00 |
| 07-19 19:04 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina? | BUY | 0.089999996 | $20.00 |