PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ewuly123

0xa1b846a4dee3ee08be92b111b7ebfd3cf70a392a

Realised P&L
$347.24
Volume
$4.6k
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$152.31

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar7.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration57.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration66.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9680.980$101.19+$1.19
Will Marine Le Pen win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.8800.855$19.43−$0.57
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.7900.815$10.32+$0.32
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8900.895$10.06+$0.06
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1460.117$7.98−$2.02
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.030$3.33−$6.67
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$10.00
Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? · No0.4160.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 10:26Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?BUY0.4158415677$10.00
10-13 09:44Will Marine Le Pen win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.8799999965$20.00
10-11 05:05Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.9679999999$100.00
10-11 05:05Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.8899999252$10.00
10-11 05:05Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.1459999993$10.00
10-11 05:05Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.7899999905$10.00
07-13 17:04Over $20M committed to the Credible public sale?BUY0.7630988751$50.00
07-13 17:03Over $12M committed to the Credible public sale?BUY0.9277733433$100.00
06-03 08:56MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.004$10.00
05-05 11:12Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0899999919$10.00
04-30 13:26MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?SELL0.6406875215$74.55
04-30 12:06MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?SELL0.34$1.31
04-30 12:06MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?SELL0.62$144.29
04-24 08:21MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?BUY0.2599998648$1.00
04-20 14:48Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?SELL0.8008329583$177.96