PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

xcgvhjkb

0xa1b80f6c277a19e3e79496b447df5e911c1c615c

Realised P&L
$-315.77
Volume
$12.2k
Markets traded
71
Open portfolio
$68.05

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded71
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration66.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample35 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)77.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration75.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 16? · No0.9791.000$51.02+$1.07
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 2? · Yes0.9910.994$17.03+$0.04
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 3? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00−$2.45
Will DELTARUNE win Best Soundtrack in the 2025 Steam Awards? · Yes0.0660.000$0.00−$9.21
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of March 23 above $305? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$8.72
Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on December 28? · Yes0.0970.000$0.00−$16.95
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $4.00-$5.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 22 – Dec 26? · Yes0.0360.000$0.00−$5.84
Will the price of Solana be between $170 and $180 on December 16? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00−$1.36
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 18? · No0.0690.000$0.00−$9.29
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 26 - February 1 be between 15,000,000 and 15,250,000? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00−$4.35
Will Nike say "Tariff" during earnings call? · No0.1080.000$0.00−$15.62
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on January 12? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00−$3.45
Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$9.64
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $165-$170 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 29 – Jan 2? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00−$1.62
Will OL Lyonnes vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$24.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-28 10:34Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 25-31?BUY0.9799999651$14.03
03-28 04:04Max Christie: Points O/U 16.5BUY0.13$84.48
03-27 20:25Will OL Lyonnes vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?BUY0.16$24.05
03-27 04:06Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?BUY0.07$9.64
03-26 12:15Mexico vs. Portugal: O/U 4.5BUY0.14$27.48
03-25 03:29Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of March 23 above $305?BUY0.08$8.72
03-24 05:25Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $150-$152 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?BUY0.11$29.28
03-19 11:15New York City FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 4.5BUY0.26$162.23
02-17 15:34Will Amazon (AMZN) close at <$175 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 16 – Feb 20?BUY0.015$1.63
02-10 16:56Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?BUY0.057$16.70
01-28 07:57Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 26 - February 1 be between 15,000,000 and 15,250,000?BUY0.034$4.35
01-24 04:28Will the Bank of Brazil lower the Selic rate after January 2026 meeting?BUY0.123$15.17
01-23 10:27Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3,300 on January 28?BUY0.022$2.55
01-23 10:23Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 26?BUY0.028$3.64
01-23 09:45Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 26?BUY0.032$3.60