RoundingError
0xa1ac925d1b451623f94496f32493734d922399dd
- Realised P&L
- $10.23
- Volume
- $8.3k
- Markets traded
- 240
- Open portfolio
- $92.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded240
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 20? · Yes | 0.391 | 1.000 | $76.70 | +$46.70 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 21? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.265 | $15.90 | −$14.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$69.08at 0.159Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on September 5?
- +$63.64at 0.321Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 5?
- +$48.48at 0.174Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 17?
- +$38.01at 0.347Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on October 1?
- +$33.67at 0.310Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 09:55 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 21? | BUY | 0.5 | $30.00 |
| 10-20 16:57 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.3909147772 | $30.00 |
| 10-17 13:22 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.368877029 | $15.00 |
| 10-17 05:35 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.492 | $5.37 |
| 10-15 16:54 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 15? | BUY | 0.59 | $10.62 |
| 10-14 20:55 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 14? | SELL | 0.0352083333 | $0.84 |
| 10-14 16:03 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C or higher on October 14? | BUY | 0.59 | $1.71 |
| 10-14 14:54 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 14? | BUY | 0.45 | $30.00 |
| 10-13 20:20 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 13? | BUY | 0.52 | $13.58 |
| 10-12 15:14 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.6 | $14.32 |
| 10-12 15:04 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.56 | $1.58 |
| 10-11 11:20 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.3857010608 | $20.00 |
| 10-10 16:56 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.3707047693 | $19.20 |
| 10-09 17:53 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 9? | BUY | 0.4125742574 | $20.00 |
| 10-08 17:01 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.4265909091 | $18.77 |