mhariri269
0xa1a913bc336926ef510bd84719bc40153a04dc81
- Realised P&L
- $210.97
- Volume
- $9.7k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $325.47
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei · No | 0.260 | 1.000 | $180.77 | +$133.77 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · Yes | 0.163 | 0.019 | $131.87 | −$999.96 |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.034 | $12.83 | −$82.91 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$77.20at 0.050Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-12 08:52 | Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.1630765702 | $1.1k |
| 01-14 14:03 | Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | SELL | 0.12 | $132.34 |
| 01-10 10:26 | US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $95.74 |
| 01-06 07:17 | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | BUY | 0.259999997 | $47.00 |
| 01-06 07:17 | Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | BUY | 0.05 | $50.00 |
| 01-05 18:26 | Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.14 |