PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

TwisTii

0xa1a8bac29a0524cf3b217bb2fc464aecf5434dc6

Realised P&L
$392.34
Volume
$26.3k
Markets traded
63
Open portfolio
$1.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded63
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration93.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration72.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 22:36Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?BUY0.963056846$90.00
10-02 22:35Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?BUY0.69$1.1k
10-02 22:32Will Marco Antônio Superman win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?BUY0.8921789297$100.00
10-02 22:30Will Marina Silva win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?BUY0.9329999998$300.00
09-27 05:24Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?BUY0.89$26.70
07-06 01:22Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.31$9.30
06-29 17:51Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?SELL0.45$4.50
06-28 05:10Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.19$1.90
04-08 15:56Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?SELL0.012$0.36
04-05 16:58Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?BUY0.14$4.20
01-28 14:47Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?BUY0.025$1.00
01-11 20:30No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?BUY0.84$16.80
12-31 05:20No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?BUY0.84$8.40
12-31 05:09US government shutdown Saturday?BUY0.28$2.80
12-25 20:45Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.184$1.84