TwisTii
0xa1a8bac29a0524cf3b217bb2fc464aecf5434dc6
- Realised P&L
- $392.34
- Volume
- $26.3k
- Markets traded
- 63
- Open portfolio
- $1.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded63
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration93.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.2kat 0.739Will a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election?
- +$44.39at 0.801Will Fuad Noman win the 2024 Belo Horizonte mayoral election?
- +$23.14at 0.597Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
- +$13.82at 0.929Will Ricardo Nunes win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?
- +$10.09at 0.330U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 22:36 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election? | BUY | 0.963056846 | $90.00 |
| 10-02 22:35 | Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? | BUY | 0.69 | $1.1k |
| 10-02 22:32 | Will Marco Antônio Superman win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election? | BUY | 0.8921789297 | $100.00 |
| 10-02 22:30 | Will Marina Silva win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? | BUY | 0.9329999998 | $300.00 |
| 09-27 05:24 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election? | BUY | 0.89 | $26.70 |
| 07-06 01:22 | Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.31 | $9.30 |
| 06-29 17:51 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-29? | SELL | 0.45 | $4.50 |
| 06-28 05:10 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.90 |
| 04-08 15:56 | Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | SELL | 0.012 | $0.36 |
| 04-05 16:58 | Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | BUY | 0.14 | $4.20 |
| 01-28 14:47 | Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | BUY | 0.025 | $1.00 |
| 01-11 20:30 | No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.84 | $16.80 |
| 12-31 05:20 | No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.84 | $8.40 |
| 12-31 05:09 | US government shutdown Saturday? | BUY | 0.28 | $2.80 |
| 12-25 20:45 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.184 | $1.84 |