0xa19f55b7fbeff67e213fdf04bf8c73e1c73746c1
- Realised P&L
- $39.18
- Volume
- $325.92
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $1.58
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar12.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jim Chalmers be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? · No | 0.500 | 0.928 | $0.93 | +$0.43 |
| Will Jim Chalmers be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.072 | $0.65 | −$3.85 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.00at 0.500Will Anthony Albanese be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?
- +$0.00at 0.500Will Angus Taylor be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?
- +$0.00at 0.500Will Pauline Hanson be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?
- +$0.00at 0.500Will Robbie Katter be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?
- +$0.00at 0.500Will Larissa Waters be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-11 16:38 | Will Robbie Katter be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? | SELL | 0.982 | $2.01 |
| 07-11 16:38 | Will Larissa Waters be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? | SELL | 0.995 | $1.99 |
| 07-11 16:38 | Will Pauline Hanson be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? | SELL | 0.83 | $1.68 |
| 07-11 16:38 | Will Angus Taylor be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? | SELL | 0.79 | $1.58 |
| 07-11 16:38 | Will Anthony Albanese be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? | SELL | 0.58 | $1.18 |
| 07-11 16:37 | Will Pauline Hanson be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? | BUY | 0.8499996047 | $1.72 |
| 07-11 16:37 | Will Anthony Albanese be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? | BUY | 0.5999999016 | $1.22 |
| 07-11 16:37 | Will Angus Taylor be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? | BUY | 0.81 | $1.62 |
| 07-11 16:37 | Will Larissa Waters be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.00 |
| 07-11 16:37 | Will Robbie Katter be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? | BUY | 0.997 | $2.04 |
| 07-11 16:37 | Will Robbie Katter be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? | SELL | 0.982 | $3.04 |
| 07-11 16:37 | Will Robbie Katter be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.04 |
| 07-11 16:37 | Will Larissa Waters be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? | SELL | 0.995 | $3.08 |
| 07-11 16:37 | Will Larissa Waters be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.04 |
| 07-11 16:37 | Will Pauline Hanson be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? | SELL | 0.84 | $2.64 |