0xa19F0598a1E3e87C75aABEC03a2F127a644ca7dA-1778257625897
0xa19f0598a1e3e87c75aabec03a2f127a644ca7da
- Realised P&L
- $23.09
- Volume
- $596.65
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $51.95
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 28? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.355 | $44.38 | +$4.38 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 27? · Yes | 0.186 | 0.035 | $7.53 | −$32.47 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 26? · Yes | 0.373 | 0.001 | $0.05 | −$39.95 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.09at 0.680Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 12:29 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.32 | $40.00 |
| 09-26 02:36 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.1860378587 | $40.00 |
| 09-26 02:34 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.99 | $73.95 |
| 09-24 16:34 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.3730061319 | $40.00 |
| 09-24 06:42 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.6693306652 | $50.00 |