Webwaffle420
0xa18effd53c9fc23574415b9bac8655e1be97c8c7
- Realised P&L
- $817.96
- Volume
- $5.5k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $5.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar14.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration86.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship? · No | 0.820 | 0.960 | $4.4k | +$645.92 |
| Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 achieve a successful splashdown? · Yes | 0.597 | 0.860 | $359.86 | +$109.86 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy explode? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.905 | $343.67 | +$43.67 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.13at 0.833Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-18 00:21 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy explode? | BUY | 0.7899999998 | $300.00 |
| 08-18 00:19 | Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship? | BUY | 0.8499999999 | $500.00 |
| 08-18 00:09 | Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship? | BUY | 0.8335545393 | $200.00 |
| 08-16 20:21 | Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship? | BUY | 0.8618602081 | $90.00 |
| 08-16 20:21 | Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship? | BUY | 0.8309455572 | $100.00 |
| 08-16 20:21 | Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 achieve a successful splashdown? | BUY | 0.7132922001 | $100.00 |
| 08-16 01:52 | Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship? | BUY | 0.8718983196 | $100.00 |
| 08-16 01:52 | Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship? | BUY | 0.8333288881 | $99.98 |
| 08-15 20:37 | Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship? | BUY | 0.8510461422 | $100.00 |
| 08-15 20:37 | Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship? | BUY | 0.7959256406 | $100.00 |
| 08-15 20:37 | Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship? | BUY | 0.7534120147 | $100.00 |
| 08-15 02:20 | Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship? | BUY | 0.8646245018 | $100.00 |
| 08-15 02:19 | Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship? | BUY | 0.8386649229 | $300.00 |
| 08-15 02:18 | Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 achieve a successful splashdown? | BUY | 0.5587944813 | $50.00 |
| 08-15 02:18 | Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 achieve a successful splashdown? | BUY | 0.52976305 | $100.00 |