wms
0xa18bd9df20a17cc762e99cd889c254f9788e0b36
- Realised P&L
- $-68.19
- Volume
- $1.0k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $132.11
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration30.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.90at 0.528Will Turkey qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$17.38at 0.760Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?
- +$16.36at 0.550Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
- +$6.63at 0.751Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
- +$-1.45at 0.204Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-01 18:10 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.5199999979 | $30.00 |
| 01-11 21:32 | Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026? | SELL | 0.145 | $3.55 |
| 01-09 20:21 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.7899999968 | $20.00 |
| 01-09 20:17 | US strike on Mexico by December 31? | BUY | 0.6299999926 | $22.16 |
| 01-09 20:12 | Will Petr Yan fight Merab Dvalishvili next? | BUY | 0.6099999994 | $10.00 |
| 01-09 20:11 | Will the fight be won by submission? | BUY | 0.4138012411 | $10.00 |
| 01-09 20:10 | UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.6699999839 | $10.00 |
| 01-09 20:04 | Will Alexandre Pantoja become UFC champion in 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $10.00 |
| 01-09 20:01 | Will Diego Lopes become UFC champion in 2026? | BUY | 0.4692896831 | $20.00 |
| 01-09 19:57 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1899999908 | $15.00 |
| 01-09 19:55 | Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.2039999752 | $5.00 |
| 01-09 19:51 | Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? | BUY | 0.5499999931 | $20.00 |
| 01-09 19:46 | Will Turkey qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5277018554 | $20.00 |
| 01-09 19:45 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999813 | $10.00 |
| 01-09 19:42 | Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.7511662796 | $20.00 |