PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

wms

0xa18bd9df20a17cc762e99cd889c254f9788e0b36

Realised P&L
$-68.19
Volume
$1.0k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$132.11

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration30.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5200.595$34.33+$4.33
US strike on Mexico by December 31? · No0.6300.925$32.54+$10.38
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.7900.895$22.66+$2.66
Will Petr Yan fight Merab Dvalishvili next? · Yes0.6101.000$16.39+$6.39
Will Alexandre Pantoja become UFC champion in 2026? · Yes0.4000.640$16.00+$6.00
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1900.077$6.08$8.92
Will Diego Lopes become UFC champion in 2026? · Yes0.4690.051$2.19$17.81
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.5200.100$1.92$8.08
US civil war before 2027? · Yes0.1240.000$0.00$10.00
Iran x Israel conflict ends before July? · No0.4350.000$0.00$50.00
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$20.00
Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$20.00
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card) · Pimblett0.6700.000$0.00$10.00
Will the fight be won by submission? · Yes0.4140.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-01 18:10Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.5199999979$30.00
01-11 21:32Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?SELL0.145$3.55
01-09 20:21Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.7899999968$20.00
01-09 20:17US strike on Mexico by December 31?BUY0.6299999926$22.16
01-09 20:12Will Petr Yan fight Merab Dvalishvili next?BUY0.6099999994$10.00
01-09 20:11Will the fight be won by submission?BUY0.4138012411$10.00
01-09 20:10UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.6699999839$10.00
01-09 20:04Will Alexandre Pantoja become UFC champion in 2026?BUY0.4$10.00
01-09 20:01Will Diego Lopes become UFC champion in 2026?BUY0.4692896831$20.00
01-09 19:57Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.1899999908$15.00
01-09 19:55Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?BUY0.2039999752$5.00
01-09 19:51Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?BUY0.5499999931$20.00
01-09 19:46Will Turkey qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5277018554$20.00
01-09 19:45Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.5199999813$10.00
01-09 19:42Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? BUY0.7511662796$20.00