0xa1881990e694467798a9952f8A5Df783aa74eB69-1772727099195
0xa1881990e694467798a9952f8a5df783aa74eb69
- Realised P&L
- $2.96
- Volume
- $10.8k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $7.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)73.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| StandX FDV above $7B one day after launch? · No | 0.974 | 0.997 | $3.03 | +$0.07 |
| Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No | 0.997 | 0.991 | $2.60 | −$0.02 |
| Exact Score: Fulham FC 0 - 0 Hull City AFC? · Yes | 0.064 | 0.061 | $1.76 | −$0.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.51at 0.460Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-04-05?
- +$3.53at 0.490UFC 326: Michael Johnson vs. Drew Dober (Lightweight, Main Card)
- +$2.17at 0.570UFC Fight Night: Mason Jones vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)
- +$2.11at 0.510Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs
- +$2.06at 0.380Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 10:12 | Exact Score: Fulham FC 0 - 0 Hull City AFC? | BUY | 0.064 | $1.85 |
| 09-15 17:26 | Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.9719999915 | $1.82 |
| 09-15 17:25 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 17? | BUY | 0.9639999858 | $1.09 |
| 09-09 15:57 | Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.9969999992 | $2.62 |
| 09-03 15:32 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.9849999977 | $2.15 |
| 09-03 15:31 | StandX FDV above $7B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9739997822 | $2.96 |
| 08-28 04:51 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 August 24-30? | BUY | 0.9829998338 | $2.91 |
| 08-22 22:40 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.0180000003 | $1.43 |
| 08-22 22:39 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.97 | $1.73 |
| 08-12 02:26 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 10-16? | BUY | 0.9859998062 | $2.92 |
| 08-05 23:05 | Will Ethereum reach $2,200 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.9639998142 | $1.93 |
| 07-25 05:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 27? | BUY | 0.9969996251 | $2.34 |
| 07-14 19:43 | Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9389999987 | $2.83 |
| 07-09 08:33 | Exact Score: Norway 3 - 3 England? | BUY | 0.9849999903 | $1.02 |
| 07-02 03:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 3? | BUY | 0.9969999996 | $4.60 |