Manifesting88
0xa1875b6a719647ec87c52d6f1d3ac9dcd650aa65
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $139.4k
- Markets traded
- 476
- Open portfolio
- $404.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded476
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$562.87at 0.380Spurs vs. Trail Blazers
- +$535.81at 0.340LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
- +$419.44at 0.160Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$410.00at 0.090Celtics vs. 76ers
- +$123.08at 0.508Spread: Navy (-6.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 23:27 | UFC 332: Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev (Middleweight, Early Prelims) | BUY | 0.4499999978 | $30.00 |
| 10-02 23:27 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BUY | 0.5499999969 | $35.00 |
| 10-02 23:25 | Spread: Virginia Tech (-1.5) | BUY | 0.18 | $5.42 |
| 09-30 16:52 | Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.38 | $49.00 |
| 09-30 16:21 | Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group B | BUY | 0.3099999986 | $30.00 |
| 09-30 14:17 | West Indies Tour of India ODIs: India vs West Indies | BUY | 0.3 | $15.00 |
| 09-30 13:57 | Valorant: 100 Thieves vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Group A | BUY | 0.7599999977 | $39.00 |
| 09-30 01:06 | Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.64 | $64.00 |
| 09-29 21:26 | Counter-Strike: Legacy vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | BUY | 0.5099999996 | $26.14 |
| 09-29 15:21 | Valorant: Karmine Corp vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Champions Group D | BUY | 0.0789999991 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 15:20 | Valorant: Karmine Corp vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Champions Group D | BUY | 0.06 | $6.00 |
| 09-29 13:09 | Valorant: Karmine Corp vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Champions Group D | BUY | 0.65 | $65.00 |
| 09-28 11:37 | Georgia vs. Ukraine: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.449999991 | $15.00 |
| 09-28 11:36 | Romania vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 8.5 Total Corners | BUY | 0.489999992 | $25.00 |
| 09-28 11:35 | Counter-Strike: magic vs GamerLegion (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs | BUY | 0.6099999972 | $63.00 |