PolyBot

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Traders

Manifesting88

0xa1875b6a719647ec87c52d6f1d3ac9dcd650aa65

Realised P&L
$-1.0k
Volume
$139.4k
Markets traded
476
Open portfolio
$404.39

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded476
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration7.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.2700.115$172.50−$232.50
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.2000.165$165.00−$35.00
O/U 1.5 Rounds · Under0.5500.585$37.23+$2.23
UFC 332: Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev (Middleweight, Early Prelims) · Marvin Vettori0.4500.445$29.67−$0.33
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-07-28? · Yes0.3170.000$0.00−$30.00
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Nemiga (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs · Nemiga0.5100.000$0.00−$80.00
Vancouver: Kayla Day vs Mai Hontama · Kayla Day0.3940.000$0.00−$31.54
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-08-11? · Yes0.6000.000$0.00−$61.00
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs 1WIN (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Closed Qualifier Playoffs · 1WIN0.0800.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-22? · No0.5400.000$0.00−$28.00
Counter-Strike: UPGRADE vs Black Phoenix (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage · UPGRADE0.4900.000$0.00−$50.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1150.000$0.00−$122.00
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Nemiga (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs · BIG0.6500.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-08-08? · Yes0.5100.000$0.00−$30.00
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-08-09? · No0.4400.000$0.00−$23.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 23:27UFC 332: Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev (Middleweight, Early Prelims)BUY0.4499999978$30.00
10-02 23:27O/U 1.5 RoundsBUY0.5499999969$35.00
10-02 23:25Spread: Virginia Tech (-1.5)BUY0.18$5.42
09-30 16:52Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?SELL0.38$49.00
09-30 16:21Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group BBUY0.3099999986$30.00
09-30 14:17West Indies Tour of India ODIs: India vs West IndiesBUY0.3$15.00
09-30 13:57Valorant: 100 Thieves vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Group ABUY0.7599999977$39.00
09-30 01:06Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5BUY0.64$64.00
09-29 21:26Counter-Strike: Legacy vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group StageBUY0.5099999996$26.14
09-29 15:21Valorant: Karmine Corp vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Champions Group DBUY0.0789999991$5.00
09-29 15:20Valorant: Karmine Corp vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Champions Group DBUY0.06$6.00
09-29 13:09Valorant: Karmine Corp vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Champions Group DBUY0.65$65.00
09-28 11:37Georgia vs. Ukraine: O/U 2.5BUY0.449999991$15.00
09-28 11:36Romania vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 8.5 Total CornersBUY0.489999992$25.00
09-28 11:35Counter-Strike: magic vs GamerLegion (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 PlayoffsBUY0.6099999972$63.00