amckinney
0xa179817dc4c882cdf4c82d8f9616d94ede15d227
- Realised P&L
- $0.20
- Volume
- $304.48
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $4.06
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration81.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)69.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 3? · No | 0.997 | 1.000 | $1.57 | +$0.00 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 27? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $1.28 | +$0.00 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,300 on September 28? · No | 0.995 | 1.000 | $1.21 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.24at 0.460Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5
- +$0.17at 0.700Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 15?
- +$0.05at 0.967Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 20?
- +$0.03at 0.973Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on February 20?
- +$0.01at 0.988Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on February 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 13:29 | Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,300 on September 28? | BUY | 0.995 | $1.20 |
| 07-02 13:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 3? | BUY | 0.9969999987 | $1.57 |
| 06-26 17:24 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 27? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.28 |
| 05-17 22:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.27 |
| 05-17 22:15 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 18? | SELL | 0.9920701754 | $1.13 |
| 05-17 21:57 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 18? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.14 |
| 05-16 20:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18? | BUY | 0.0099628253 | $1.34 |
| 04-23 19:21 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on April 24? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.10 |
| 03-02 09:10 | Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,300 on March 3? | BUY | 0.995 | $1.81 |
| 02-23 06:09 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on February 23? | BUY | 0.987999996 | $1.00 |
| 02-20 06:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on February 20? | BUY | 0.9729992272 | $1.22 |
| 02-12 10:13 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on February 12? | BUY | 0.9989990208 | $1.01 |
| 02-10 09:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 10? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.80 |
| 01-19 19:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 20? | BUY | 0.9669999857 | $1.35 |
| 01-17 17:49 | Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $2.30 |