lagoness
0xa1783e4d22e10afee1b9828c1d1e73f33e2211a2
- Realised P&L
- $-14.9k
- Volume
- $1.43M
- Markets traded
- 5,165
- Open portfolio
- $0.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,165
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration7.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$583.49at 0.079Will Southampton FC win on 2026-03-07?
- +$444.13at 0.577Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
- +$391.31at 0.460Will Santos FC win on 2026-02-26?
- +$382.95at 0.205Will CD Tolima win on 2026-02-19?
- +$361.26at 0.557Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 02:19 | Will CR Flamengo vs. Independiente del Valle end in a draw? | SELL | 0.78 | $300.00 |
| 09-18 02:12 | Will CR Flamengo vs. Independiente del Valle end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1299999999 | $50.00 |
| 09-18 00:12 | CR Flamengo leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.5799999992 | $120.00 |
| 09-17 20:59 | Málaga CF vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.6099999985 | $130.00 |
| 09-17 20:22 | Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.6999999993 | $200.00 |
| 09-17 20:21 | Manchester City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 4.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $245.65 |
| 09-17 19:59 | Manchester City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.6099999993 | $150.00 |
| 09-17 19:40 | Beşiktaş JK vs. Olympique de Marseille: 1st Half O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.2999999985 | $40.00 |
| 09-17 19:37 | Lillestrøm SK vs. SC União Torreense: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | SELL | 0.9911488543 | $182.98 |
| 09-17 19:14 | Manchester City FC leading at halftime? | SELL | 0.999 | $181.63 |
| 09-17 19:14 | Lillestrøm SK vs. SC União Torreense: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.6499999986 | $120.00 |
| 09-17 18:44 | Manchester City FC leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.5499999995 | $100.00 |
| 09-17 18:43 | OFI vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $285.42 |
| 09-17 18:14 | OFI vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.6999999993 | $200.00 |
| 09-17 18:04 | Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.32 | $50.00 |