Rotnosaha
0xa177c9b2b77bec241421f519b6e88a4ef6d6a6a5
- Realised P&L
- $-28.48
- Volume
- $5.0k
- Markets traded
- 226
- Open portfolio
- $10.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded226
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Seahawks (-7.5) · Commanders | 0.510 | 0.495 | $1.75 | −$0.05 |
| Will Levante UD vs. Athletic Club end in a draw? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.315 | $1.47 | −$0.07 |
| Spread: Hawai'i (-3.5) · Wyoming | 0.560 | 0.575 | $1.44 | +$0.04 |
| Will Nashville SC win on 2026-09-26? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.675 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Ravens vs. Cowboys · Ravens | 0.630 | 0.615 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Panthers vs. Browns · Panthers | 0.580 | 0.555 | $0.96 | −$0.04 |
| Ole Miss vs. Florida · Ole Miss | 0.410 | 0.385 | $0.94 | −$0.06 |
| Genoa 2: Marvin Moeller vs Luka Mikrut · Luka Mikrut | 0.700 | 0.635 | $0.91 | −$0.09 |
| Spread: New Mexico State (-2.5) · New Mexico State | 0.210 | 0.175 | $0.83 | −$0.17 |
| Solana Up or Down - August 3, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET · Down | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.10 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.20 |
| ITF Koksijde: Diletta Cherubini vs Tilwith Di Girolami · Diletta Cherubini | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-05? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Hagen: Dominik Recek vs Diego Dedura-Palomero · Dominik Recek | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.50 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 7, 2026 (ET)? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.93at 0.050Solana Up or Down - March 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
- +$3.26at 0.060Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
- +$2.00at 0.010Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$1.91at 0.351Warsaw: Laura Samson vs Mona Barthel
- +$1.57at 0.161Solana Up or Down - March 2, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 09:33 | Hangzhou Open: Yunchaokete Bu vs Kamil Majchrzak | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 09:28 | Genoa 2: Marvin Moeller vs Luka Mikrut | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 09:17 | Chengdu Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Lloyd Harris | SELL | 0.73 | $1.46 |
| 09-26 08:55 | Chengdu Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Lloyd Harris | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 03:46 | Will Levante UD vs. Athletic Club end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3299999764 | $1.54 |
| 09-26 03:43 | Chengdu Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 03:41 | Chengdu Open: Federico Cina vs Alexandre Muller | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 03:40 | Clemson vs. California | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 03:12 | Will Seattle Reign FC win on 2026-09-25? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.17 |
| 09-26 01:30 | Navy vs. UAB | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 01:28 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 12:06 | Will Armenia win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 11:23 | Will Georgia win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 11:11 | Singapore Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandez | SELL | 0.29 | $1.26 |
| 09-25 10:14 | Singapore Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandez | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |