0xA175DDd24e57100a8A171E0Ea458c1D5E2bc82F1-1774892699438
0xa175ddd24e57100a8a171e0ea458c1d5e2bc82f1
- Realised P&L
- $-304.45
- Volume
- $17.7k
- Markets traded
- 468
- Open portfolio
- $996.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded468
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$70.60at 0.403Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
- +$32.08at 0.456Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
- +$30.52at 0.861Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on April 3?
- +$30.08at 0.440Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
- +$21.49at 0.457Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 11:01 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on October 20? | SELL | 0.997 | $4.99 |
| 10-19 20:53 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.9980585798 | $52.99 |
| 10-19 20:51 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $135.91 |
| 10-17 13:01 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.972137931 | $35.24 |
| 10-16 05:36 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $22.77 |
| 10-14 21:45 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C or higher on October 15? | BUY | 0.999 | $191.51 |
| 10-14 21:45 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.998 | $19.96 |
| 10-14 21:45 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.9977445072 | $63.58 |
| 10-13 12:07 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.8802933473 | $67.22 |
| 10-07 14:02 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.9809090909 | $53.95 |
| 04-14 15:47 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on April 14? | SELL | 0.999 | $55.27 |
| 04-14 14:58 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on April 14? | BUY | 0.8278502036 | $45.41 |
| 04-14 13:06 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on April 14? | SELL | 0.999 | $45.95 |
| 04-08 20:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | BUY | 0.68 | $3.89 |
| 04-08 20:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $4.66 |