PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xA175DDd24e57100a8A171E0Ea458c1D5E2bc82F1-1774892699438

0xa175ddd24e57100a8a171e0ea458c1d5e2bc82f1

Realised P&L
$-304.45
Volume
$17.7k
Markets traded
468
Open portfolio
$996.10

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded468
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 19? · No0.9970.951$537.80−$26.34
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 19? · Yes0.9950.932$322.31−$21.81
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 19? · No0.9991.000$135.98+$0.07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET · Down0.2170.000$0.00−$14.61
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET · Down0.0640.000$0.00−$1.29
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$0.10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET · Down0.1000.000$0.00−$0.20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET · Up0.0730.000$0.00−$2.59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET · Down0.0710.000$0.00−$2.40
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C or higher on April 4? · No0.1910.000$0.00−$175.92
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 7? · No0.9850.000$0.00−$98.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00−$0.11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET · Up0.3850.000$0.00−$2.19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET · Up0.1730.000$0.00−$5.90
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET · Down0.1010.000$0.00−$3.56

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 11:01Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on October 20?SELL0.997$4.99
10-19 20:53Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 19?BUY0.9980585798$52.99
10-19 20:51Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 19?BUY0.999$135.91
10-17 13:01Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 17?BUY0.972137931$35.24
10-16 05:36Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 16?SELL0.999$22.77
10-14 21:45Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C or higher on October 15?BUY0.999$191.51
10-14 21:45Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on October 15?BUY0.998$19.96
10-14 21:45Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on October 15?BUY0.9977445072$63.58
10-13 12:07Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on October 13?BUY0.8802933473$67.22
10-07 14:02Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 7?BUY0.9809090909$53.95
04-14 15:47Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on April 14?SELL0.999$55.27
04-14 14:58Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on April 14?BUY0.8278502036$45.41
04-14 13:06Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on April 14?SELL0.999$45.95
04-08 20:51Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETBUY0.68$3.89
04-08 20:36Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETBUY0.8$4.66