sanyapelmen
0xa16d0d74839c4145079576debdc34eef373e43a4
- Realised P&L
- $17.39
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $151.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027? · No | 0.975 | 0.976 | $54.40 | +$0.06 |
| Will Nico Estévez win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year? · No | 0.990 | 0.987 | $49.77 | −$0.18 |
| Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? · No | 0.963 | 0.934 | $47.59 | −$1.45 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.46at 0.917GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?
- +$2.41at 0.952Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?
- +$2.41at 0.957Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$1.82at 0.963Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
- +$1.42at 0.950Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-07 13:03 | Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.9349999976 | $19.65 |