PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Crespo2

0xa1690ed6280d76bf18ec3499f31bc9fcd27b6a8d

Realised P&L
$-29.40
Volume
$2.2k
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$7.31

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will LEVIATÁN Qualify to VCT Champs 2026? · No0.4010.986$7.31+$4.33
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$23.40
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET · Up0.5650.000$0.00$18.99
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0640.000$0.00$3.20
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-08? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$1.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-05 23:05Will LOUD Qualify to VCT Champs 2026?BUY0.75$4.65
09-05 21:28Will LEVIATÁN Qualify to VCT Champs 2026?SELL0.789$4.73
09-04 21:17Will LEVIATÁN Qualify to VCT Champs 2026?BUY0.4009999808$5.38
03-17 21:39Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL0.11$5.26
02-16 01:19Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETBUY0.5886674367$19.51
01-19 08:17Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?BUY0.268$5.36
01-16 02:03US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?SELL0.91$9.10
01-15 08:42Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Leviatán Esports (BO3)BUY0.48$4.80
01-15 08:32US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?BUY0.78$7.80
01-13 16:09Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?SELL0.2$10.00
01-13 13:44Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?BUY0.542$27.10
01-13 03:16Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?SELL0.13$1.30
01-11 00:28Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?BUY0.09$9.00
01-11 00:25Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?BUY0.1$1.00
01-08 16:47Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-08?BUY0.16$1.60