010204
0xa164225e1666e682e07ffb186a5db5bc95781405
- Realised P&L
- $132.70
- Volume
- $17.0k
- Markets traded
- 247
- Open portfolio
- $61.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded247
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$41.72at 0.055Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C on July 13?
- +$31.52at 0.910Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on August 1?
- +$28.97at 0.309Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 4?
- +$27.26at 0.250Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on July 1?
- +$23.28at 0.371Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 02:00 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.23 |
| 08-06 19:28 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.49 | $29.40 |
| 08-06 11:49 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.26 | $1.82 |
| 08-06 11:41 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.92 |
| 08-06 11:27 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.80 |
| 08-06 11:12 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.01 |
| 08-06 10:55 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.05 | $0.25 |
| 08-06 10:42 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.11 | $2.97 |
| 08-06 10:38 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.08 | $0.26 |
| 08-06 10:31 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 08:22 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.04 | $0.39 |
| 08-06 08:02 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.9438461538 | $49.08 |
| 08-06 07:48 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.40 |
| 08-06 07:09 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.94 | $46.06 |
| 08-06 07:08 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.0396153846 | $1.03 |