PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

010204

0xa164225e1666e682e07ffb186a5db5bc95781405

Realised P&L
$-52.03
Volume
$82.7k
Markets traded
746
Open portfolio
$5.33

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded746
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 23? · Yes0.3000.565$2.83+$1.32
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 23? · Yes0.3600.350$1.75$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on September 22? · Yes0.0800.050$0.75$0.45
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on July 24? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$5.76
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 7? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$0.74
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on September 4? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on September 6? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$1.05
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on August 22? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$0.29
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 14? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00$7.41
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on August 26? · Yes0.2320.000$0.00$5.79
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 12? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00$3.20
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 15? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$1.20
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on September 1? · Yes0.0320.000$0.00$9.27
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 20? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$4.20
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C or below on August 12? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 06:15Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on September 22?BUY0.08$1.20
09-22 06:11Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 23?BUY0.36$1.80
09-22 06:10Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 23?BUY0.3$1.50
09-22 02:41Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on September 22?BUY0.005$0.05
09-21 23:54Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on September 22?BUY0.0064273733$1.20
09-21 21:33Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on September 22?BUY0.04$4.00
09-21 21:31Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on September 22?BUY0.165$3.30
09-21 16:01Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on September 21?BUY0.0369484601$3.53
09-21 14:45Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on September 21?BUY0.12$1.25
09-21 14:03Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on September 21?BUY0.125$1.25
09-21 05:18Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on September 21?BUY0.09$1.08
09-21 05:17Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on September 21?BUY0.0078986398$0.18
09-21 05:16Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on September 21?BUY0.07004$1.40
09-21 04:56Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 21?SELL0.44$4.40
09-21 01:28Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 21?BUY0.35084$3.51