010204
0xa164225e1666e682e07ffb186a5db5bc95781405
- Realised P&L
- $-52.03
- Volume
- $82.7k
- Markets traded
- 746
- Open portfolio
- $5.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded746
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$167.09at 0.064Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 14?
- +$149.29at 0.010Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on September 3?
- +$139.59at 0.069Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on August 26?
- +$110.02at 0.070Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 20?
- +$106.18at 0.167Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 06:15 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.20 |
| 09-22 06:11 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.36 | $1.80 |
| 09-22 06:10 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.50 |
| 09-22 02:41 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.05 |
| 09-21 23:54 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.0064273733 | $1.20 |
| 09-21 21:33 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.04 | $4.00 |
| 09-21 21:31 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.165 | $3.30 |
| 09-21 16:01 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.0369484601 | $3.53 |
| 09-21 14:45 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.25 |
| 09-21 14:03 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.125 | $1.25 |
| 09-21 05:18 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.08 |
| 09-21 05:17 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.0078986398 | $0.18 |
| 09-21 05:16 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.07004 | $1.40 |
| 09-21 04:56 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.44 | $4.40 |
| 09-21 01:28 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.35084 | $3.51 |