gOnstar
0xa15f12c3f4bc9531452e84e9148a86b551502f24
- Realised P&L
- $-661.43
- Volume
- $94.8k
- Markets traded
- 366
- Open portfolio
- $4.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded366
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$99.02at 0.337Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 143m and 157m?
- +$67.23at 0.348Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be greater than 157m?
- +$56.56at 0.664Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?
- +$39.80at 0.277Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 137m and 150m?
- +$39.12at 0.070Bitcoin Up or Down on November 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-03 23:37 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.529999992 | $6.00 |
| 07-03 22:22 | Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.4599999471 | $4.00 |
| 07-03 22:13 | Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Draw at halftime? | BUY | 0.4099999446 | $2.00 |
| 07-01 02:27 | Mexico vs. Ecuador: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | BUY | 0.15 | $3.00 |
| 07-01 02:26 | Mexico vs. Ecuador: Will the Match Go to Extra Time? | BUY | 0.2754097732 | $3.00 |
| 07-01 02:26 | Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2199999727 | $5.00 |
| 07-01 02:13 | Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.29999997 | $5.00 |
| 06-30 01:35 | Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.2699999698 | $6.00 |
| 06-29 22:24 | Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | SELL | 0.77 | $7.70 |
| 06-29 21:36 | Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | BUY | 0.35 | $7.00 |
| 06-29 20:58 | Germany vs. Paraguay: Draw at halftime? | BUY | 0.4499999807 | $7.00 |
| 06-27 01:01 | Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 06-27 00:27 | Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 11.5 Total Corners | BUY | 0.549999989 | $15.00 |
| 06-27 00:26 | Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 10.5 Total Corners | BUY | 0.3599999376 | $3.00 |
| 06-27 00:25 | Uruguay vs. Spain: Uruguay O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.4799999808 | $5.00 |